Catching up on a few things while my Kevin Garnett appreciation piece lingers on another few weeks...
* The KG magnet is working well in Boston. Of the Celtics signings to fill out their roster since the big trade, Scot Pollard is no great shakes but Eddie House is a nice little microwave to have from outside coming off the bench to spell Rondo and Ray Allen, and, the real coup, glue guy James Posey has agreed to come to Boston to firm up its suspect defense. Like House, Posey is also a threat from three-point territory. The real winner in all this is Kendrick Perkins, who will be wide open on the weakside low block every time the C's set up with KG on one block, Pierce and Allen on the wings, and gunners including Allen and House outside the arc.
* The flipside is the traded-KG magnetic force propelling Juwan Howard away from the Wolves. Howard's stated desire to be traded just weeks after he himself was acquired was eminently predictable following Garnett's departure, but the Wolves should resist compliance for at least a year. Anyone scanning Minnesota's roster will notice a void of veteran leadership, at a time when the post-KG wake promises to wash up all kinds of pecking order disputes, even as Randy Wittman implements the hard-ass discipline that has been the most frequent justification made for his rehiring. Bottom line, the Wolves need Howard's level head and mitigating demeanor, especially with clubhouse balm Mark Madsen waylaid by a watercraft incident. Too bad for Juwon, who isn't getting any younger and wants a shot at a ring-- or at least a chance to believe his role as lead babysitter will lead to tangible rewards before he retires.
* As if often the case, the best free-agent signings are teams retaining their keystone players (Gerald Wallace in Charlotte, Chauncey Billups in Detroit, Mo Williams in Milwaukee). Otherwise, there are a lot of gambles out there thus far. The Celts getting Posey is an exception--he's a perfect fit--and I'd add to that a quartet of point-guard signings. The diciest of the four is Chucky Atkins going from nothing-to-lose Memphis to the impending pressure-cooker of a Nuggets squad that can't afford to squander the Melo-AI-Camby combo one more year. Still, I think Atkins will be an upgrade over Steve Blake, who bears the scars of not stepping up in last year's playoffs versus the Spurs. Blake's return to Portland is a good idea for both sides, however, as he is the right guy to mentor Jarrett Jack and help along Greg Oden and company as the Blazers quicken into feared contenders for the next decade or so. Brevin Knight will give the Clips a nice little bridge between the fast-fading Sam Cassell and the recently drafted rookie. And Derek Fisher going back to the Lakers is a no-brainer all the way around.
In contrast, the big-man signings are fraught with risk. Did Jamaal Magloire permanently fall off the table that fast due to age and injuries, or will the chance to play with Kidd, Carter and Jefferson resurrect his low-post tenacity? Is Darko Milicic a tease or a burgeoning star? And how is he not redundant with Pau Gasol in Memphis? Mikki Moore was a wonderful story last year, and I'm glad he's getting paid, but he'll soon discover that playing with Bibby and Kelvin Martin is a tad different than Kidd and Jeff. Joe Smith is no upgrade over PJ Brown in Chicago (but perhaps a better fit with Ben Wallace, if not Joakim Noah).
Like the Sports Guy and many others, I believe Orlando grossly overpaid for Rashad Lewis, who does a lot of the big things and precious few of the little ones that turn a star into a superstar. But getting Adonal Foyle off the scrap heap to help Dwight Howard was a nice move. In signings that have more pronounced playoff implications, Grant Hill is a decent gamble for Phoenix, who is totally mortgaging its future (how many of their draft picks has Portland owner Paul Allen bought by now?) in order to win now. And Eddie Jones brings 10-12 minutes of quality defense and hustle to an already-stocked Dallas team whose biggest hurdle will be psychological in 2007-08.
* It is hard not to conclude that scandalized ref Tim Donaghy didn't blow whistles that shaved points to abet the alleged mob figures who allegedly had him by the short hairs due to gambling debts. And I understand and appreciate that the credibility of the entire NBA will take a hit for it. But as a constant watcher of NBA games, one of the things I selfishly fear is that the refs as a group will have suffered sufficient loss of face that the rules about players bitching over calls will effectively vanish. As one who tends to side with employees over management in most labor disputes, I was surprised at how much I welcomed the potential reduction in absurd bellyaching after every blown whistle. But after a month or so of enforcing the rule, the refs seemed to slowly but surely relax their intolerance--or worse, selectively enforce it--as the season went on. Amid all the calls for upgrading the refs and removing any taint of scandal from their ranks, I hope that a bone gets tossed to the quality refs who will have to endure a horrendous season in 07-08 in the wake of the Donaghy matter. Specifically, David Stern should reiterate that needless complaints--and I'm talking about melodramatic reactions and extended debates by players who clearly just hacked/charged/travelled/etc--will result in additional fouls. Let's clean up the game all the way around. I'll take that over dress codes any day.
* Finally, while it is true that the United States has been unbeaten throughout its performances in FIBA Americas Championship Series over the decades, I do believe the current squad obliterating the South Americans this summer is the best all-around ballclub since the fabled Dream Teamers of the 1980s. When you can throw out three rugged floor generals like Kidd, Deron Williams and Billups at the point, have three-point specialists Michael Redd and Mike Miller as backcourt options, trump any opponents' athletes with LeBron, Kobe, Melo and Tayshaun Prince as your swingmen, and finish off with Dwight Howard, Amare, and Tyson Chandler as your beef inside, you have got a team without discernable weakness.


Portland still has some good young players and might be slightly better than the Wolves this season now that Oden is out for the year (then again, maybe not). But, Bill Simmons latest makes you feel pretty sorry for the Blazers and their pick of Oden over Durant in this spring's draft.
I am not expecting much from the Northwest division and Utah should run away with it. However, with a Denver implosion the Wolves might find themselves within sight of the second place spot in the division by the end of the year, even with a sub .500 record.
Auto-
I'd like to see you prediction come true. Not seeing it, but I'd like to.
One question for you and all the other Trade Ricky, Trade Marko, Trade Blount proponents.
What do you think we are going to get for these guys? They are either head cases, they stink, or they have bad contracts (or all three). What team is going to give up something we want for a player like this? Did I mention none of these guys has any real upside?
Now that we are rebuilding, we can stop doing these knee jerk, bad trades where we trade crap for crap with longer contracts.
I say let these guys play out their contracts or buy them out. The reality is we are not going to get guys that will help us rebuild in exchange for any of these guys. The game plan has changed, it's time to think long term.
I, like the rest here, think Anton is bit more than delusional.
He correctly identifies the importance of the play of AJ and Foye, but then goes on to list the glut of Swingmen as the reason the wolves will prosper next year.
The development of our young roster will have only little to do with how Telfair, Gomes, Smith, Green and McCants pan out. If one of these players demonstrate they can be usable pieces on an NBA roster, that might be considered good. However, if their development comes at the expense or is highlighted by the lack of development in the game of AJ, Foye and Brewer, the Wolves will be in trouble for many years ahead.
Davis, BLount, Hassel and Howard's play is only important to how the season begins. IF the WOlves are going to reach double figures in wins over the first half of the season, it will be because the veterans will have played well. Getting to double figures in wins over the first half really isn't as important as having Brewer, Foye and AJ on the court together for significant minutes while losing many games and learning to play together and their role in winning games (at sometime in the future). Their development (and the Wolves) will be judged over the second half of the season where playing near .500 will be a sign of great success and improvement. This will still leave them out of the playoffs and hopefully with another draft pick to bolster their roster in the following years.
I'm standing pat by my bold prediction, logic be damned! True, we haven't really seen what this team is capable of at all, and each day that passes is a lost opportunity for trading Ricky, but think about our lineup:
Jefferson is sharing the spotlight with Foye for the "team star". Neither guy has proven he can be a superstar or even top dog yet, as both have played second fiddle over the course of their young careers. They both will have plenty of chances to show what they can do, and you really don't know what kind of player either guy is until their feet are held to the fire. I'm excited to find out what these two are made of.
And I think our glut of swingmen is not a problem, so long as they're used competently. Trenton, Ricky, Gomes, Green, Jaric, Brewer, and McCants are all unique players and can be used effectively depending on the matchup. Over half that group is over 6'7"...I know height isn't a very good indicator of NBA talent, but we really should be concerned with our ability to rebound - AJ was a decent rebounder for ONE season, and we just lost the best in the league. A backcourt of Foye/McCants/Green could destroy an opponent's weakest perimeter defender, creating drive-n-kick opportunities for everyone. Either that, or I've been watching too much AND1 during the offseason.
We've got solid backups - provided we keep Howard and can get a couple of minutes out of Ratliff (whom I would rather see play more minutes than Bliz, but I won't be THAT optimistic), and we play Foye for 35+ a night (limiting Telfair). That's not even counting Craig Smith, who could play the 4 (with AJ at the 5) if we wanted to go small, preferably with a couple of bigger defenders at the swingmen spots. Could be a good frontcourt for short stints - good for putbacks and rebounds, defense may be a question mark.
I can't explain why I'm so confident about this lineup. It's going to be so bizarre without KG's intensity out on the court, but I feel like the role players we have picked up are a step in the right direction.
And I think there are quite a few teams out there who are worse than us - Seattle has been mentioned, but I don't think Oden will be an immediate savior for a rebuilding Blazers franchise. Yes, they'll be great soon, but not this year. Denver is feeling the pain of the Kenyon Martin's deal, and may be looking to unload Marcus Camby, which would be a HUGE blow to them - he's one of the best defenders in the league at his position.
Either way, plenty of room to grow with this squad, and at still feel like we can finish 2nd or 3rd in our division, and with a .500 record to boot! Oh, and the one change I make to my prediction: WOLVES MAKE THE PLAYOFFS.
I realize we're splitting hairs figuring out which teams may be worse than the Wolves, but hey, we don't have much else to talk about (Wolves-wise).
Seattle will definitely be worse than the Wolves. They have two good rookies...and nothing else. Durant will score, but he is going to get worked on D until he fills out.
But anyways, let's not get too discouraged. The Wolves will stink. Everyone, but Autonymous, seems to accept this. The key is progress... identifying four or five "keepers" on this current team, make some smart personnel decisions (for a change), and getting better through experience.
If we can do that, and get one stud draft pick in the next year or two, we are right back in the hunt. It's all very doable, and we have some nice pieces already.
In retrospect, Patrick, you are correct. The Clippers are cursed, and the Knicks are the same mess as always, so that leaves us third worst, exactly as you predicted. I think Charlotte (because their lotter pick isn't third on the depth chart), Memphis (Conley will really help) and Seattle (a real coach, and Durant could be a monster) are all better, however. Sadly, this team will be positioning itself for the draft in about 6 months, and we'll be wondering if its better to get a PG (Mayo or Rose) or another big (Beasley or Hibbert) in the draft. Both the wolves management and the Celtics players are used to this scenario.
Midlife-
My prediction that the Wolves will be better than a couple of teams is based on their depth and youth. Injuries, fatigue, and guys "taking the night off" should not be issues for this team. That alone should make them better than a few teams, perhaps...Seattle, Sac, Memphis, LA Clips, NY, Indy, and Charlotte (who still sucks, and a sixth seed in the East is like finishing last in your division in the West).
Still, no go-to scorer, and obvious chemistry issues puts a cap on my optimism.
also... I'm really enjoying following the FIBA tournament. Does anyone else feel their hatred of Kobe starting to wane? I'm surprised to see Kobe accept a role on any team where he is not the leading scorer. This has probably been the most savvy PR move he has ever made. I'm sure it will wear off once he rejoins the Lakers, but I'm surprised how quickly my opinion of him has changed. (Like I said, I'm sure it will return in a few months.)
Stephen,
Which McCants will show up this season? Both of them. He will be just as inconsistent as he has always been - even in college. This is why I don't think McCants will ever become a solid starter in the NBA. He will be a good bench player though, and I wouldn't mind signing him again. As long as he continues to work on playing good defense, he'll have a role. His inconsistency is forcing him to become a good defender in order for him to stay on the court.
I'm not going to try to make any strong predictions for this team, but I do think that 40 wins is unrealistic. Remember who's coaching these guys. And I do think it's probably a bit early to try to make predictions since this team seems so unfinished. I suspect there will be at least one more trade before the season begins - and maybe shortly after it starts.
I have to agree with patrick, except for the wolves doing better than 2-3 teams. We are a mish-mash of a team that still has a whole lotta swingmen and very little of anything else. I think Jefferson will be great, as long as someone can get him the ball. Unfortunately, the person most equipped for that duty, Pretty Ricky (the ballplayer, not the 1200 lbs boar), might not be inclined to make those passes. There's no great love between Davis and Al. Sebastian Telfair's off court struggles don't make him a diamond in the rough. He's all rough. He PLAYED himself onto the bench in Boston. I'm just hoping McHale doesn't tell us that he, and not Al, was the primary reason for the trade. Finally, if Glen Taylor acquiesces and trades Howard, we will have no front court defense at all.
However, I am confident that Jefferson will get a whole bunch of rebounds if our opponents ever miss.
Wolves: 2007-08 An Important Season for Rashad McCants
By Stephen Litel
for HOOPSWORLD.com
Aug 31, 2007, 23:12
When a player enters their third season in the league, they should begin to have a sense of what type of career they will have. As a rookie, most players are fighting their way through the new life they are leading, attempting to make a name for themselves. Year two is odd, as it brings more relaxation because the sophomore now knows more of what to expect, but at the same time brings the great expectation of raising the level of play from the first go-around.
Then, year three brings the pressure to continue to grow, while providing the stability that the team now expects.
Rashad McCants has an important season ahead of him. After a rookie year in which he showed flashes of outstanding play coupled with games of mediocrity, McCants was unable to continue his progression heading into year two. At the conclusion of his rookie season, McCants went under the knife for microfracture surgery on his knee, keeping him on the sidelines for all but 37 games last year.
Once he was able to return, the former national champion from North Carolina was only able to average 15.0 minutes, providing 5.0 points per game for the dysfunctional Timberwolves. Partially due to easing back into the mix and partially due to having veterans playing the same position ahead of him in the rotation, McCants worked on getting himself back into game shape, but the task was difficult.
As a participant in the Timberwolves summer league games in Las Vegas, McCants was again an enigma. In total, he was able to average 31.2 minutes and 13.0 points per game, yet his inconsistency was striking. Against New Orleans he shot 1-11 from the field, scoring four points. He one-upped himself against the Los Angeles Clippers, shooting 1-12 in that contest and scoring only five points.
After each of these uninspired performances, McCants was able to bounce back. Following the game with New Orleans, he was more aggressive driving the ball while shooting 5-9 from the field, 6-6 from the free throw line for a total of 17 points. After the break down against the Clippers, McCants took over the final summer league game for Minnesota, scoring 32 points on 8-16 shooting and an astounding 15-19 from free throw.
So, which Rashad McCants will show up in 2007-08 season for the Timberwolves?
Through both the NBA draft and the trade which sent Kevin Garnett to Boston, the franchise brought in numerous young players who will all battle with McCants for minutes. First round pick, Corey Brewer, Gerald Green and Ryan Gomes, along with returning players Ricky Davis, Trenton Hassell, Marko Jaric and Randy Foye all have played at the shooting guard position, so minutes will become sparse if he is unable to progress.
Competition is good, as it will force the third year McCants to continue to work on his game, get healthy and show his potential. If his work ethic on the court is anywhere near what it was during his rehab"as he was ahead of schedule a majority of the time"there should be no concerns.
In the limited action McCants has seen to date during his brief NBA career, he has shown a solid shooting touch. A career 43% shooter, along with 34% from three illustrates that he could very well be a piece of the Timberwolves puzzle both in the present and in the future. The question is whether or not those percentages can improve when given more minutes or if this young player has already maxed out his potential.
As is the case with everything Timberwolves related, only time will tell what will happen.
Stephen Litel covers the Minnesota Timberwolves for Basketball News Services, powering HOOPSWORLD.COM, SWISH Magazine, and The Basketball News Report. Litel also writes a weekly column for Downtown Journal in Minneapolis. He is finishing his first book on Kevin Garnett and welcomes reader feedback.
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OK, I'll endure "sleeper" Bobcats picks and FIBA commentary, but you've crossed the line Auto.
40 wins next season?! And your sole premise is that these guys are playing for contracts?
I am willing to venture that the Wolves do better than 2-3 teams (Seattle for example is going to be worse than the Wolves) next year. And I am an eternal Wolves optimist.
You've blown straight through delusional into insanity.
Okay, so while my track record on predictions is not so great (see: Twins-as-division-champs, 5 days ago, as well as "KG-is-a-Wolf-for-life", a prediction I continued to make well after he was traded), I'm predicting a 40-win season for the Wolves. Yup, that's 40 wins. One short of .500, and a few games short of a playoff seed.
It's easy to talk about "the future" with this group, but for many of these guys, it's put-up-or-shut-up time. We all know Telfair is on his last chance, but Rashad is also a 3rd year guy who's got something to prove. Green and Jefferson are young, but also have at least SOME experience, and that's where most of my optimism comes from. We're not playing a squad full of rookies here, but rather a bunch of young guys who have played in the League for at least a couple of years, and I think that's pretty valuable - at least in the short term.
I'm not usually a big fan of giving rookies much burn (unless we're desperate for a spark). They just don't play within the flow of the game and frequently get that deer-in-headlights look. Don't get me wrong, sometimes disrupting the flow is how you make your mark (and you can do it in a "non-rookie" way - Craig Smith), but sometimes you can play like a rookie and look bad (maybe for multiple years - McCants).
That said, Brewer has looked a bit more polished than I thought - sure the offensive game is lacking, but he seems to use his length and quickness as a weapon on defense.
The timing for FIBA is good. Other than the US Open Tennis there is nothing going on. Twins have tanked. The worst part of NFL pre-season is upon us (DON'T GET HURT). College football is just gearing up. We're still a month from NBA Training Camp. And the US team is loaded and in it to win it. LeBron's first half performance last night was just about perfect.
Looking at the vets left for the Wolves, I agree Britt, we should see what Howard and his presence can do for the team this year. Otherwise, I wouldn't mind a vets fire sale. Jaric, Hassell, Davis, Blount. Keep one for leavening, take what you can get for the other three.
With one hand, I'm girding myself for a 20-something-win season. With the other I'm high-fiving anybody else who is excited to see what these young guns can accomplish.
Bring it on!
amen to the referee sentiments. happy yi jianlian signing day!!!
the spurs made out like bandits in not signing thud and plucking another 3-point gunner in ime udoka -- because you can never have too many swingmen who can play d and shoot the 3.
francisco "he touched me in my private parts" elson got his face smashed in euroball and ruben patterson is now a clipper. some things just feel right to me.
can anyone think of a retired point guard the celtics could use? timmy hardaway would be good if stern would allow him near the league (and/or he didn't hate gays).
miami turned down thud and it's only a matter of time before he comes crawling to danny ainge.
Anton--
With an opinionated motormouth like yours truly running the show, you needn't fear "monopolizing the blog." In fact, I'll weigh in later about what squads I think are dark horses and white elephants sometime over the Labor Day weekend, and encourage anyone interested to do the same. It's definitely the off-season when it comes to hoops, but, as Anton mentioned, a lot has transpired that is worth sifting and judging.
Moroni - I actually like the 'Cats this year too - I'm not big on May or Morrison (or even Richardson for that matter), but I think they've got enough combined talent to sneak into the playoffs. They're filling roles via the draft rather than just going for upside - Wallace and Okafor will continue to learn and shoulder the load, while guys like Richardson can do what they do best.
As for the Celts, I think they're shaping up nicely - Posey was a great value, and I think Scot Pollard will fit well with the rest of the vets on this club. If they were able to acquire some disgruntled vet PG (Sam C. would be a serious upgrade over House) midseason, I'd even pick the C's over the Spurs.
I think the Grant Hill signing will work well for the Suns, but I do NOT understand giving away KT + 2 firsts just for cap relief. It's like setting yourself up to get kicked in the pants when Nash leaves. Then again, I don't own a franchise, so what do I know, right?
I've got plenty more I'd write, but I don't feel like monopolizing the blog - it's been a very interesting offseason, both from the Wolves' perspective and from a league perspective. Who would have guessed that we'd be rebuilding alongside 2 division rivals, and the Celts would grab two franchise players? And I didn't even touch on some teams (Memphis' addition/return of Conley/Lowry will be much bigger than Darko, Denver/Karl's pending trademark meltdown, the Knicks' love affair with unlikable superstars, etc.). I'm actually debating getting cable plus League Pass this year, and I'm only mildly embarrassed to admit that I'm developing a man-crush on every team in our division except Denver, whom I want to fail miserably.
Oh, and I did some off-the-cuff offseason analysis on every NBA team (~ 2 paragraphs each - click my name and scroll to the very bottom if you want to read it)
My sleeper pick this season is the Charlotte Bobcats. I like the roster with the addition of Richardson. If everyone can stay healthy I can see them being a top six seed in the East.
Not to take away from the current thread, but this is on ESPN.com right now...KG was one of the 200 attendees for EG's funeral.
Griffin remembered as family-loving kid with tender heart
http://sports.espn.go.com/nba/news/story?id=2995048&campaign=rss&source=...
Niiice post. Will the Wolves actually be able to move the grabage crue of Marko, Blount and Davis? Is there anyone decent we could get? Who does this team keep around?