It's not quite moving a deck chair on the Titanic, but the straight (and still unconfirmed) trade of Mike James to Houston for Juwan Howard seems more of an addition-by-subtraction and a bid to install locker room leadership than a significant upgrade in on-court talent.
First, the upside. Howard is a quality individual, a hard worker who has been given various community awards and citations for his charitable contributions and strength of character. At 6-9, he is a front court player who has averaged more than 16 points and 7 rebounds over the course of his 13-year career. In terms of chemistry, he is a stabilizer, not a disrupter, and has long been friends with Kevin Garnett.
His contract is slightly more expensive than James's, but extends out to a player option (that he will almost certainly exercise) in 2008-09, whereas James has his own lucrative player option in 2009-10, so the Wolves save a year of expensive penance for their unfortunate signing. Howard also enables the Wolves to rid themselves of James the player, whose horrendous defense and emotional inability to make the transition from role player to reliable starter was among the more significant of myriad disappointments in the 2006-07 season. Add to that persistent rumors that James was a corrosive component of this team, especially in his willingness to talk the talk about team play but not walk the walk, and it's easy to understand why Minnesota pulled the trigger on this deal.
The downside is that Howard will be 35 in February and cannot reasonably be expected to hold down the center position, even in this era of no hand-check small ball. He is a better rebounder than Mark Blount (who isn't among big men?), shares the ball better in the half court game, and is a better defender. But he is *not* a shot-blocker (his career average is 0.3 per game) and can't provide the staunch, trunk-oriented ability to hold his ground so necessary in defending bigs in the paint. Instead, he is a decent mid-range jump-shooter (albeit not as good as either KG or Blount) and passable defender of opposing power forwards who is probably incapable at this point in his career of playing the sort of uptempo style that is coming into vogue in the NBA, one the Wolves might be able to play with the right draft pick and deploying KG as the "center."
Any more tea-leaf reading on the future will of course have to wait for this month's draft and other deals that might occur between now and the beginning of training camp this fall. At first blush, it appears that Minnesota is either preparing to draft a point guard or indeed committed to Randy Foye as its point guard. I'm guessing the latter, because Juwan Howard is decidedly not the banger required to take the onus off Kevin Garnett in the paint wars.
Bottom line, I think this trade was made for chemistry reasons, and to begin to correct the backcourt imbalance on the roster that plagued the team last season. Juwan Howard is not the piece that cements a playoff contender. He is a reliable player on and off the court who will provide an honest night's effort 82 games per season. The same could not be said of Mike James. The only lingering question, one we obviously can't answer, is whether or not the Wolves could have received better compensation for James than an aging, smallish, slightly redundant power forward.


Oden and Durant will be gone and Horford almost certainly so. Who do we take at 7? If Conley is there do you take him? And what does that do to Randy Foye's head? Of the prospects that may fall to us I think Conley and Yi have the highest ceiling but are both also risky picks. B. Wright gives me a bad vibe because he resembles Blount facially and has the same expression on his face--looks like a loser. Call me shallow but that's my gut. Joakim has energy and height, two things we are in need of. My friend thinks he could be the next Camby; I'm not so optimistic but wouldn't it be beautiful. Brewer seems a solid pick but small forwards are not a rare commodity. If I'm the Wolves I take whoever the highest player on the following list who is still available at 7:
1. Oden
2. Durant
3. Horford
4. Yi
5. Brewer
6. Conley
7. Noah
Am I nuts to leave B. Wright off?
If you are hell bent on getting a center and Conley is there at 7 do you take him and have Atl take Hawes at 11 and then send them Conley for Hawes and make Atl eat Thud or Blount's contract for Salim or Tyronn and whatever else makes the numbers work?
Well, I guess we'll just have to wait and see. Personally, I'm preparing myself for life with KG around this time next year. Even if it is a trade at the deadline, we won't get shit for him (since everyone knows he can opt out.)
We have no leverage if we have to trade him, I can't see us getting much more than 50 cents on the dollar if he is traded at some point after this season starts. Even if some team he goes to gives him an extension or whatever, it won't help us any.
I think Snyder is correct in that small deals like the James and Howard swap gets the wolves headed in the right direction. It does offer a tiny bit of hope. That's hope for a respectable basketball team that's fun to watch, not hope for a championship contender.
I think KG will ask for a trade shortly after the first time he plays against Oden and Durant in his own division. That will be the writing on the wall that his time is running out and that the wolves won't even win their own division in the next 5-7 years, let alone compete for a championship.
But if we can get something for Ricky and have a solid draft the wolves can be fun to watch again and maybe compete for a playoff spot in 2-3 years.
I'm not so sure about that, College Wolf.
KG makes $20+ million a year. As bad as I think he wants to win, I don't think he's just going to join a team for their mid-level exception. How many teams are there out there that are contenders AND far enough below the cap that they can pay him something close to what he's worth?
My guess is if KG gets fed up, he'll demand a trade and then work out some kind of extension with the team he ends up joining. He may be frustrated with how the team has performed the past three seasons, but he's not stupid.
Snyder -
If we wait until *next* year to see what we can get for KG, the answer will be "Nothing." Because he will opt out and walk if there isn't marked improvement and a committment to winning THIS season.
Bracey Wright will not be back...unfortunately.
Bracey Wright is a free agent and all indications are that he has no desire to return. Which is too bad because I think Jesse's idea for how to use him is pretty reasonable.
I'm not holding my breath for a *big* move like O'Neal or anything like that, but I do think there will be other moves. Ditto on marquee free agents. We only have the mid-level available, which got us Mike James last year. You're not suddenly going to get Chauncey Billups for that kind of money.
Here's what I want to see: one or two more moves like they just did with James/Howard to replace cancers with good character players that can still contribute on the floor and then a couple of smart draft picks. Then surround KG with the young guys and use the vets to teach/lead by example and see what happens.
It won't get you to the Finals next year, but I do think it would at least get the franchise heading back in the right direction enough to offer some hope. If it doesn't work, then you probably have to swallow hard and see what you can get for KG.
The closer we get to the draft, the more I'm thinking it has to be Brewer (if available.)
midlife- Interesting point. Perhaps even more interesting is that the Taylor empire in North Mankato has not done well in recent years since Glen turned over the reigns to others. (Admittedly this is hearsay, but I've heard Taylor Corp is struggling from several sources in Mankato, which is where I'm from).
I'd say Taylor's fatal flaw is giving too much rope to the wrong people (read: McHale).
It's kind of weird, but I wonder if Glen Taylor being in the meeting might actually get things done. We forget, because of the wolves, that he is more than a little competent as a business man. I'm sure during the meetings he's not satisfied with just talk, since businesses fail if they don't do things. They probably have a list that they absolutely will adress before the summers up.
Hello all!
Britt, I agree with you in that "Is Howard worth James? Could we have doe better?". I don't think any "smart" team would look ahead so far into the draft with certainty they are going to land any specific player. That is why I think your argument is at the heart. It's the value exchange. I just wish we could have gotten something a little more out of it. But addition by subtraction works for me I guess.
The Wolves have a lot of more moves they need to get on. I think drafting a point is pointless. Look, we are gonna deal with T hud till he leaves. Period. Let's hope he can regain something out there. We still got Jaric, McCants, and Bracy. Although I do beleive Bracy will go else where. But dang .. I could see a little bit of daniel Gibson in him when he did get a few minutes. If it were up to me, I woul make Foye the combo guard and McCants the off, with Bracy coming in and out moving T-hud back as 3rd string.
They should look to move Ricky. I think I am being sold on Brewer but something tells me he will go 4th or 5th. I don't beleive people want to use a lotto pick on Noah thinking they will get an anderson verajo. Although Anderson is pretty good in his own thing. I can't see Noah going before the 10th pick.
They should also see if they can get a marquee free agent in. I really wouldn't mind seeing Jermaine O'Neal here along side KG, with Howard and those shooters. They could spread the floor, play half court, they could run ( a little). I donno... I just don't want this to be the biggest off season move for them.
This is kind of interesting.
http://www.nba.com/features/draft2007_consensus.html
NBA.com has compiled several mock drafts from around the internet to come up with a "consensus" mock draft. It's about a week old, but the consensus at that time for the Wolves was Conley.
I agree that Richards could be a good NBA player. Not sure that he'd be better than Noah, but I do think he could be a steal at #41, especially with KG and now Howard around to teach him. What would that mean for Craig Smith, though?
Britt,
I hope the Wolves were responsible for the Reed inclusion; it would demonstrate that they're taking initiative in trades. I may be completely wrong on this, but it feel like a lot of the deals over the last few years have been ones where the Wolves have let other teams get what they want without aggressively going after better deals. I have nothing but a gut sense on this, but it would be nice to hear that McHale is dictating terms on a deal.
Snyder,
I actually think Richards has the chance to be a very good player. I was impressed by his play against UCLA and Ohio State, and think he might become a better pro than noah.
Thanks Snyder, I was just about to post. Justin Reed had a fairly promising half-season after being acquired from the Celts. Last year? Having secured his deal and been consigned to the end of the bench by both head coaches, his primary role was as smirking co-conspirator with Ricky Davis and Mark Blount whenever anything met with the disapproval of one or the other. When he got a little burn during the Tank Weeks at the close of the season, he displayed a little better accuracy on his midrange J than in previous stints, but otherwise revealed himself to be a classic 'tweener consigned to mimic the other team's plays in practice while getting scant minutes for a bad team. I'll be surprised if he surpasses that level with the Rockets, and wonder whether his inclusion in the deal was at Houston's or the Wolves' instigation.
Trade is official now:
Mike James plus Justin Reed for Juwan Howard.
So with letting Banks walk last offseason and now this move, we've got two Celtics gone and two to go...but at least we don't have Kandi's brain cramps or Wally's injuries to deal with anymore either...
Question: I saw the Wolves worked out Chris Richards the other day. If they don't have a good option at #7 to get a big man, should they look at Richards with the second-round pick or Kammron Taylor to keep T-Hud on the bench where he belongs?
I like it. This trade doesn't make the Wolves any less irrelevant, but one of the four most problematic players is gone in exchange for a guy who should be non-corrosive chemistry-wise.
The problem I have with this move is that it creates minutes for Troy Hudson as our backup PG. Howard does little to solve our size problems as he is not a force in the low blocks or on the glass. It's certainly not a bad move but I have a feeling I'll be missing the days of Mike James when Thud is chucking bricks and playing the worst defense in the league.
Some thoughts from this deal:
1) The team has admitted a mistake and addressed it, which is refreshing by itself.
2) This shows a bit more "big picture" thinking than most of management's decisions over the past three years. Perhaps we'll one day look at this as the end of the reckless decisions made while grasping at straws and the beginning of sounder strategies.
I like the deal, and I say this believing James--a better fit for Houston than the Wolves--might play very well next season, providing fodder for the second guessers.
While it is a minor deal, i think it is a good move for the Wolves. No talent gain, but this one move goes a long way to resolve some of the roster imbalance. Now Foye slides into the starting pg spot, and T-Hud can back up Foye. Davis, Hassell, Jaric and McCants and will share minutes at the SG and SF postion, while Smith, KG, Blount MadDog and Howard now give the Wolves five players to to play the PF and C positions.
Drafting a big man is not as much of a priority now. If a guy like Conley is available, the Wolves can go with the "best player available approach", rather than drafting a lesser player due to need.
I haven't posted a comment here before, but for some reason I feel a need to pipe in with another observation about this trade. In addition to the reasons mentioned, I see this as a signal that the Wolves will draft a big man, either Brandon Wright or (more likely) Jo Noah. First, Howard acts as a band-aid for our big man deficiency, allowing the Wolves to bring along the new kid slowly. Second, while Howard is on the downside of his career, his game has never been predicated on athleticism: he's seemed a technique/skill guy, and I think the Wolves see this as an opportunity to get a smart vet who would be able and willing to mentor a rookie, a task that I sense KG isn't well-suited for (in the Jordan vs. Pippen, father vs. mother, icon vs. teacher, terrorize vs. nurture sense).
It is a postitive first step toward rebuilding the Wolves. We got rid of James (I was listening to PA and Dubay on the way in to work and they had some doozy quotes from a James interview with Chad Hartman - James is delusional, to say the least) and his contract and got a player who will work hard and has good chemistry with Garnett.
I am still hoping that we find a way to break up the Boston trio and get rid of, at least two of them - preferably, Davis and Blount. I wouldn't hang on to Davis to wait for his value to rise as teams fall out of the playoffs next year and want to creat capspace. Davis is too diseased and like James, sending him somewhere else would instantly improve the chemistry of the team.
This trade is pretty much a wash. It's a good example of the brain trust's fixation on certain players, too. Didn't we want Howard like six years ago? Howard's friends with Garnett, isn't James and is a good guy. But I was hoping we'd somehow use James as part of a larger three-way deal instead of straight-up swapping him for another over-the-hill-over-paid vet. Howard's best role likely wlll be as a KG sub and hopefully lockerroom leader.
If Conley's available the Wolves should nab him. Right now there's no backup point and it's debatable whether Foye can start for an above .500 NBA club.
I think this will be a good move for the Wolves. I'll admit in the past I was down on Juwan when his name would come up in trade rumors, but I would say now he's a step towards what the Wolves said they were going to try to rebuild the team with and what they need - a player who's going to work hard and put the team first.
He's not going to be a big difference-maker, but I don't know that you could expect much more given how badly Mike James played last season and how little value he likely had around the league. Who else might have even been interested in him besides the Rockets?
I also doubt they draft a point guard, even one who is as good as Conley. Having Conley, Foye and McCants in your backcourt is nice, but there would not be enough minutes to go around.
Overall a great move because we win the salary cap comparison, by one year. And we also get bigger and improve chemistry.
I've read elsewhere that Jake Reed may be a part of the deal too.
I'm still wondering if Portland will try to get Conley and whether they are willing to part with Aldridge?
I have a bad feeling that all three Florida players will be gone by the time we pick.
Busy, so here goes quickly:
Small for a big = Good
First step in eliminating the logjam at the 1/2 and bringing in a servicable big man. That's been in my "steps for improvement" all season long.
Shorter contract by 1 year = Good
Dollar wise I think it's about the same right? (Too busy to look up right now) but the one less year is key. Also, Howard *could* opt out after this year since he has a player option, but there is about a 97% chance that won't happen.
Bad attitude for Vet leader = Good
I don't think anyone will dispute this fact.
Age: 31 yr old for 34 yr old = Even
Doesn't really matter since Howard should only be playing 15-20 minutes a night (if that.) Who cares if James is younger since he shouldn't have even been signed in the first place.
What else? I'll admit I haven't even read your article yet Britt, because I like to save it (along with all the user comments) for the bus ride home after work....
Anyhow, this obviously isn't a season changing trade, or something alone that will entice KG to stick around, but it is a small step in the right direction. Now we need a couple more trades of this nature and a solid draft and we should be looking good (or at least better.)